Position width vs PnL analysis

Run metadata

Chain: 8453

Pair: weth/cbbtc

Cohort field: close_month_utc

Closed core rows: 21

All positions rows: 22

Headline findings

{
  "closed_core_row_count": 21,
  "widest_vs_narrowest_median_pnl_usdc": {
    "narrowest_bucket": "Q1_narrowest",
    "narrowest_median_pnl_usdc": -0.025094,
    "widest_bucket": "Q5_widest",
    "widest_median_pnl_usdc": -0.016499,
    "delta": 0.008595000000000002
  },
  "widest_vs_narrowest_median_return_pct": {
    "narrowest_bucket": "Q1_narrowest",
    "narrowest_median_pnl_pct_on_deposit": -0.0117769694,
    "widest_bucket": "Q5_widest",
    "widest_median_pnl_pct_on_deposit": -0.0059764,
    "delta": 0.0058005694
  },
  "least_vs_most_active_median_pnl_usdc": {
    "least_active_bucket": "Q1_lower",
    "least_active_median_pnl_usdc": -0.020002,
    "most_active_bucket": "Q3_upper",
    "most_active_median_pnl_usdc": 14.1741735,
    "delta": -14.1941755
  },
  "pairwise_correlations": {
    "avg_total_width_ticks__vs__pnl_usdc_net": {
      "pearson": -0.05808350139152437,
      "spearman": 0.23479705836104642
    },
    "avg_total_width_ticks__vs__pnl_pct_on_deposit": {
      "pearson": 0.04062269457197431,
      "spearman": 0.130081472776203
    },
    "reranges_per_30d__vs__pnl_usdc_net": {
      "pearson": -0.06014314520262066,
      "spearman": 0.43399790366064
    },
    "reranges_per_30d__vs__pnl_pct_on_deposit": {
      "pearson": 0.03349189174225599,
      "spearman": 0.3875810155685929
    }
  }
}

Methodology

{
  "open_mark_to_market_pnl_usdc_net": "withdrawn_usdc_net_to_owner_total + current_value_usdc - deposited_usdc_gross_total",
  "pnl_pct_on_deposit": "pnl_usdc_net / deposited_usdc_gross_total",
  "pnl_pct_on_principal_snapshot": "pnl_usdc_net / principal_usdc_snapshot",
  "fee_drag_pct_on_deposit": "(protocol_fee_paid_usdc_total + bot_fee_paid_usdc_total) / deposited_usdc_gross_total",
  "current_value_multiple": "current_value_usdc / deposited_usdc_gross_total",
  "log_deposit_usdc": "ln(1 + deposited_usdc_gross_total)",
  "reranges_per_30d": "rerange_count * 30 / duration_days"
}

Data files

• positions.closed_core.csv
• positions.all_positions.csv
• buckets.width.closed_core.csv
• buckets.rerange.closed_core.csv
• buckets.width_x_rerange.closed_core.csv
• buckets.width.by_dex.closed_core.csv
• buckets.width.by_month.closed_core.csv
• summary.closed_core.json
• summary.all_positions.json
• regression.closed_core.json
• correlation.closed_core.json